| Abstract: | Three sets of projections of the populations of Kenya, by sex and age, have been made on the basis of the following assumptions: A - that both fertility and mortality decline from the rates estimated for 1980; B - that fertility remains constant, but mortality continues to decline; and C - that both fertility and mortality remain constant. Whatever assumption is used, the population will pass 20 million by 1985 and 30 million by 1995-1996, and even the projection assuming declining fertility envisages a doubling of the population between 1980 and the end of the century. Provincial and district level projections were done only for the period from 1980 to 1990. |