| Abstract: | In the introduction the author states that none of the 3 basic requirements for accurate measurement and analysis of population growth in any country: a series of periodic censuses, the complete registration of births and deaths, and a comprehensive system of migration records covering all persons moving into and out of the areas concerned - were until comparatively recently fulfilled in any of the territories South of the Sahara except South Africa. He then discusses the East African censuses The S.A. territories are almost unique in having completed 2 rounds of full censuses of reasonable reliability since 1947. Next he discusses the estimates of growth rate which may be obtained from the census data and the territorial growth rates for Tanganyika, Ugand and Kenya obtained from the analysis of the censuses. Conclusion: only some unforeseen catastrophe, causing an upsurge in mortality, can prevent the population of E. Africa doubling well before the end of this century. |