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|Periodical article||Leiden University catalogue||WorldCat|
|Title:||Forecasting investment needs in South Africa's electricity and telecom sectors|
Fedderke, Johannes W.
|Periodical:||South African Journal of Economics|
|Geographic term:||South Africa|
|Abstract:||This paper uses 52-country panel data for the period 1980-2002 from the World Bank World Development Indicators database to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent per annum) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent per annum) implies an approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors. App., bibliogr., notes, ref., sum. [Journal abstract]|